Tuesday Turn Three 6/17/25

Tuesday Night National Game - New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (7:20 PM ET, MLB Network). A classic NL East rivalry is on tap for the national audience as the Mets (45-27) travel to Atlanta to take on a Braves team (31-39) looking to find its footing. The pitching matchup features two talented arms, with the Mets' David Peterson facing off against the Braves' rookie Spencer Schwellenbach.

Hitter 1 - Pete Alonso (New York Mets)

Alonso leads the Mets in several key offensive categories, including homers (17) and batting average (.293). He's a powerful force in the middle of the order who can change the game with one swing. He faces Braves rookie Spencer Schwellenbach, who has shown some vulnerability to power hitters this season (1.1 HR/9). I like Alonso's Over 1.5 Total Bases at plus-money odds.

Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases +115

Hitter 2 - Matt Olson (Atlanta Braves)

Olson has been a consistent power threat for the Braves and is a good candidate for a home run prop tonight. He has a favorable matchup against Mets' lefty David Peterson. While Peterson has good overall numbers, Olson slugs .507 against left-handers this season (compared to .458 vs. righties). Last season, Olson also slugged .500 against the Mets. This is a great lefty-on-lefty matchup that actually favors the hitter.

Olson 1+ Home Run +370

Pitcher - David Peterson (New York Mets)

Peterson has been phenomenal for the Mets this season, especially on the road where he owns a sparkling 1.98 ERA. He's allowed two or fewer earned runs in 10 of his last 12 starts. I like his strikeout prop as a strong play tonight, he's exceeded 5.5 strikeouts in 6 of his last 9 starts and the Braves' aggressive approach at the plate could lead to more strikeouts for the crafty lefty.

Peterson Over 5.5 Strikeouts +120